Will Kerbal Space Program 2 be as good as the original, according to metacritic?
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Market resolves YES if KSP2 for PC has a metacritic rating of 88 or higher two months after the game is officially fully released.

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How does this market resolve if it never comes out of early access?

This market should be added to the KSP group to perhaps attract more traders: https://manifold.markets/group/kerbal-space-program

Also might wanna clarify what you mean by "fully released", since it has already been two months from the initial release on Feb 24, 2023

predicts NO

@JacksonWagner thanks will do. Right now it's Early Access, what I mean by full release is when it comes out of Early Access, what would be the technical term for that?