Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum on Truth Social at 7:44 PM ET on Saturday March 22, demanding Iran fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Resolves YES if Trump publicly claims the Strait of Hormuz has been reopened or that Iran has complied with his ultimatum. Must be an explicit claim of success — "the Strait is open," "Iran backed down," "total victory," etc.

Vague or hedging language like "we're seeing progress" or "things are moving in the right direction" does NOT count.

Resolution sources: Truth Social, White House statements, press conferences, credible reporting of direct quotes.

Market closes March 28 to allow buffer. Will be resolved manually as soon as the answer is clear.

This market is about what Trump SAYS happened, not what actually happened.