Caution:The market will close when the IMF publishes a GDP figure above $500 billion, or when the date hits January 1st, 2026 — whichever comes first.

1-The IMF projects Vietnam’s GDP to reach around $506 billion in 2025, with an expected growth rate of 6.1%. However, in a more recent update from April 2025, the IMF revised its growth outlook down to 5.2% for 2025 and 4.0% for 2026, raising questions about the certainty of surpassing the $500 billion threshold.

2-The World Bank projects Vietnam’s GDP growth for 2025 to be between 5.8% and 6.8%, depending on different reports. While this suggests solid economic performance, the forecasts fall short of the Vietnamese government's 8% target, and raise some uncertainty about whether the $500 billion GDP threshold will be surpassed.

3-Links

a) https://vietnamnews.vn/economy/1665506/imf-projects-viet-nam-s-economic-growth-to-hit-6-1-per-cent-in-2025.html

b) https://vietnamnews.vn/politics-laws/1717038/vn-sets-gdp-growth-rate-at-least-8-in-2025-500-billion-economic-scale.html

c) https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/c6aceb75bed03729ef4ff9404dd7f125-0500012021/related/mpo-vnm.pdf

d) https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/vietnam/publication/taking-stock-viet-nam-economic-update-march-2025

e) https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/VNM?zoom=VNM&highlight=VNM