Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?
11
190Ṁ3042040
39%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria:
The rocket has to use fuel synthesized on Mars
The question is conditional on the U.S. population going down no more than 50% relative to the 2020 level - in case it gets lower, the question is voided.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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