Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?
40%
chance
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9984/russian-cyberattack-on-us-infrastructure-2022/
Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm

Metaculus Bot bought M$1 of YES3 months ago
@RyanWismer this market will resolve to the resolution on Metaculus, so best to review the description and the comments (and ask your own!) on the question at the link in the description.
Ryan Wismer bought M$1 of NO3 months ago
How is critical defined? And is there an agreed to source or set of sources to determine success?