If the election is cancelled or winner unknown by Dec 31, 2025 - the market will resolve as Other. If a person who isn't listed wins, it will resolve as Other.
People are also trading
@MaybeNotDepends Really doubtful anyone else wins the race when the electoral body is beholden to him only chance is if a military junta either annuls the results and hold another one under better conditions/just gives it to the opposition leader with the most support
@overflow Nice. Where are you getting your news? Any good Ivory Coast newspapers? Jeune Afrique?
I suppose there is a small chance of a popular uprising that overturns a stolen election. Or a coup. Or a small chance that Outtara dies (some famous Ivory Coast politician who was going to be candidate died in the last year or so at a younger age).
@MaybeNotDepends The usual suspects AP, Reuters, radio France international etc. I don't know any French so I'm just as knowledgeable as you on any good local/regional sources.
@overflow France24 can be good too.
You can also do very well with various translation browser extensions/add-ons.
@MaybeNotDepends national subreddits and small to medium news channels serve me well for the anglophone countries and I do listen to any episodes for non-anglophone countries on all the podcasts dedicated to Africa.