Will the next static fire of Starship (ship 25, 6 engines) be completely successful?
17
290Ṁ33k
resolved Jun 27
Resolved
YES

On May 18th 2023 15:11 UTC SpaceX tweeted: Ship 25 moved to a suborbital pad at Starbase for an upcoming static fire of its six Raptor engines
Will this static fire be completely successful? A full duration static fire of all 6 engines is required for a YES resolution.

I will wait for 6 hours after the static fire for an official statement on Twitter from SpaceX or Elon Musk. If "anomaly", "shut down", or similar is mentioned this resolves to NO. If less than 6 engines are fired this resolves to NO. If "successful" or a similar word is used to describe the static fire this resolves to YES.

If there's an obvious visible anomaly during the static fire (like an explosion, or similar) this resolves to NO.
If the static fire is canceled and delayed I will extend the closing time of this market.
If there are official statements or obvious signs that SpaceX changed their mind on performing a static fire for ship 25, and decided to never fire it, this market resolves to N/A no later than July 1st.
If SpaceX performs any static fires of other Starships or Boosters before testing ship 25 this will not affect the market resolution. This market is about the scheduled static fire of ship 25 specifically.

In the event of a conflict between the official statement and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, after a discussion.

Upd 05-20 19:46 UTC: fixed minor typos

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