Should I create more league-related markets?
9
137
260
resolved Jun 3
Resolved as
30%

This is a temporary personal market, that I will unlist in 24 hours (or less). I've created 22 markets related to Manifold Leagues Season 2. Should I create more markets on the topic of Leagues, or that's enough? For example, I could add "Who would rank from Gold to Platinum", or "What will be the top-earning league", or "who will perform best across all leagues". I want to know the community opinion on such markets.

Please note that this is a genuine market where I want to hear your opinion, and formulate my own, so I don't inted to manipulate it, or resolve it in favor of some user. I myself will not bet on it, and I reserve the right to resolve it as N/A or as PROB if I don't land on a definitive yes or no.

If you can, please leave a comment with your arguments.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ5
2Ṁ1
3Ṁ0
4Ṁ0
5Ṁ0
Sort by:

Thank you all for your valuable feedback! I've unlisted the market and resolved it to 30% because out of 3 ideas that I listed ("Who would rank from Gold to Platinum", or "What will be the top-earning league", or "Who will perform best across all leagues") I think I might only create one market later, and even that's not guaranteed. It seems like the interest in the topic of Leagues is high, but the the platform is oversaturated with markets about it, and people are somewhat tiered.

Add a note to their description saying "Please do not take a large position in this market and try to manipulate the user's profits. I reserve the right to unlist the market at any time."

That doesn't prevent manipulation for non-league profits, but at least it helps with the league-specific aspect.

I don't have other specific markets I would want.
I want 1 for my specific League, so I can chat to League participants.
I was thinking if I wanted to make a personal 'Will I rank to diamond this season' market.

I think there's plenty league markets in platinum and diamond for now, where a lot of the active users are concentrated, so I'd say hold off on new leagues for gold etc until and unless there's significant demand, because you don't want to create 50 markets and have them be deserted

Personally I'd weakly prefer not to have them because they generally encourage more manipulation (that's why I didn't make any for myself last season). They do seem good for Manifold, though, as they increase interest in the leagues and make them more fun. I just wish we already had fixed payout multiple option markets instead of these variable payout ones.

@NamesAreHard Some time this month James might finish the Multi-Binary feature, and change all of the Parimutuel markets to CPPM retrospectively. I'll post an update in this comment section if/when that happens!