Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?
114
1.3kṀ24k2050
62%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics
(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 100 or above?
29% chance
Will at least 50% of Americans be vegetarian by the end of 2035?
6% chance
Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 50%+ by 2040?
26% chance
Will the global prevalence of obesity peak before 2050?
72% chance
Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?
52% chance
Will the US have fewer than 1000 cancer deaths in 2050?
17% chance
Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?
85% chance
Will the US halve its emissions by 2030?
25% chance
What will be the life expectancy in the USA in 2050?
Will I achieve a BMI of less than or equal to 23 in 2025?
75% chance