Resolves to the share of after-tax income (including transfers) received by the top 1% of households, as published by the Congressional Budget Office in "The Distribution of Household Income" report.
Resolution source: CBO's Distribution of Household Income report for 2023. CBO typically publishes with a ~3-4 year lag (e.g., 2022 data published January 2026).
Baseline: In 2022, the top 1% received 14.4% of after-tax income (CBO, January 2026). The 2019 figure was 13.0%.
Resolution date: When CBO publishes the relevant report (expected ~2027).
Source: https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61911 (2022 data); https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62761 (2023 data)
Edited Sep 27, 2026: corrected the baseline figures. CBO's Table 10 puts the top 1% share of income after transfers and taxes at 14.4% in 2022 (previously given here as 14.6%) and 13.0% in 2019 (previously 13.7%).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ66 |
Resolved to 13.1. CBO's The Distribution of Household Income, 2023 (Sept 24, 2026) puts the top 1 percent's share of income after transfers and taxes at 13.1% in 2023 (supplemental data, Table 10).
I also corrected this market's description. CBO's figure for 2022 is 14.4%, not the 14.6% I had written, and for 2019 it is 13.0%, not 13.7%.
Sources: CBO report · supplemental data, Table 10
@MaxGhenis Resolves to 13.1. CBO published The Distribution of Household Income, 2023 on Sept 24: https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62761
Table 10 of the supplemental data (https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2026-09/62761-supp-data.xlsx) gives the top 1 percent's share of income after transfers and taxes as 13.1% for 2023.