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What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ75
2029
23
expected

Resolves to the share of after-tax income (including transfers) received by the top 1% of households, as published by the Congressional Budget Office in "The Distribution of Household Income" report.

Resolution source: CBO's Distribution of Household Income report for 2025. CBO typically publishes with a ~3-4 year lag (e.g., 2022 data published January 2026).

Baseline: In 2023, the top 1% received 13.1% of after-tax income (CBO, September 2026). The figure was 14.4% in 2022 and 13.0% in 2019.

Resolution date: When CBO publishes the relevant report (expected ~2029).

Source: https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61911 (2022 data); https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62761 (2023 data)

Edited Sep 27, 2026: corrected the baseline figures. CBO's Table 10 puts the top 1% share of income after transfers and taxes at 14.4% in 2022 (previously given here as 14.6%) and 13.0% in 2019 (previously 13.7%).

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