Codename: LFPR
Contracts on this market settle to the U.S. civilian labor force participation rate, seasonally adjusted, as first published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for the reference month of December 2027, expressed in percentage points (for example, a published 61.4 percent settles at 61.4). Primary source: BLS Current Population Survey series LNS11300000, as published in the monthly Employment Situation news release and mirrored as FRED series CIVPART; if the two differ, the BLS-published figure controls.
First print counts: settlement uses the value first published for the December 2027 reference month (normally in the January 2028 Employment Situation release); later revisions are disregarded, except that a BLS correction of a publication error, published before settlement, supersedes the erroneous figure.
If BLS does not publish a December 2027 value (for example, due to a lapse in appropriations), settlement uses the most recent earlier 2027 reference month first published before settlement; if the December 2027 value has not been published by April 30, 2028, settlement proceeds at that time on that basis. If BLS discontinues, renames, or materially redefines the series, MNX expects to settle on the successor headline participation rate designated by BLS, or the closest equivalent public measure at MNX discretion.
The settlement value is rounded to the nearest tick and clamped to the market's price bounds (terminal partial settlement at a bound if exceeded). Settlement is expected within 10 business days of the qualifying release. MNX may interpret or amend this resolution methodology, including while positions remain open, in accordance with the platform Terms; MNX may correct or delay a determination before it is effected, and settlement is final once effected.
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When will we ever be able to bet on MNX I keep asking on discord but I get ignored lollolllol even though I replied to the announcement message