When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)? | Manifold

When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?

Basic

15

Ṁ468

2050

2058

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

There are reasons to think that we might see exploding rates of economic growth this century. One scenario is that the development of artificial general intelligence could lead to rapid scientific and technological progress, resulting in fast economic growth.

The year that GDP doubles because of AI is sometimes called 20AI. I am interested in when this year (a period of 12 months) will take place.

I guess there will be reliable sources to tell whether we see 100% global GDP growth (inflation-adjusted) within the span of one year, so I won't yet specify what source I will use for resolution.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Inflation-adjusted GDP? Otherwise you get there easily with 100% annual inflation.

@lu yes, good point. inflation adjusted!

Venezuela and many Africans countries have triple-digit gdp growth all the time 🤔

@Gigacasting Where do you see this? Doesn’t look like it here https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=VE

Related questions

Global GDP will double compared to 2023 by... ?

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Will the world economy grow by more than 10000% in a single year before the year X?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?

Will the World's GDP double in 5 years?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?

Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

Related questions

Global GDP will double compared to 2023 by... ?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?

Will the world economy grow by more than 10000% in a single year before the year X?

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?

Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?

Will the World's GDP double in 5 years?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules