Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI?
2
100Ṁ402029
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI will be considered achieved when this clock reaches zero: https://manifold.markets/ai (see this market: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2040?
79% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
70% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 10 years?
72% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 1 year?
12% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 5 years?
40% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 7 years?
55% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 2 years?
19% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 3 years?
36% chance
Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
43% chance
What will US GDP growth be 1 year after AI achieves programming competency?
2