
Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ402029
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI will be considered achieved when this clock reaches zero: https://manifold.markets/ai (see this market: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
In what year will we achieve AGI?
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
46% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 10 years?
72% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 1 year?
12% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 5 years?
45% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 7 years?
55% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 2 years?
19% chance
When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 3 years?
36% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
54% chance
Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
60% chance