Will this market hit 50%? [24h GRACE PERIOD]
19
100แน€2060
Nov 6
52%
chance
21

Starting in 24 hours (October 23, 2025 at 3PM ET), this market will resolve Yes if it hits 50%.

IGNORE AI UPDATES THEY ARE WRONG!!1!

  • Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the 24-hour grace period starts at 4:58 PM EST on October 23, 2025 (the time when they made their clarifying comment). The market description's reference to "3PM EST" appears to have been incorrect.

  • Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve Yes if it crosses 50% (not just hits/touches 50%).

  • Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve Yes if the probability crosses 50% in either direction (e.g., going from 51% to 49% counts, as does going from 49% to 51%).

  • Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed they are currently in EDT (Eastern Daylight Time), not EST. The 24-hour grace period starts at 4:58 PM EDT on October 23, 2025.

  • Update 2025-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 24-hour grace period has ended. The market will now be resolved based on whether it crossed 50% during the grace period (which started at 4:58 PM EDT on October 23, 2025).

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The grace period is over!

Is that EST or ET?

@CollinMatthews not again :(

@vee It just keeps happening :(

@CollinMatthews I guess it's probably ET since EST would be >25 hours after market creation

@CollinMatthews I'm currently in EST but the market description also says EST. It is 4:58 PM for me right now, if that helps

@MaxE Wouldn't it have been 3:58 EST when you sent that? EST should be UTC-5, I think you're probably in EDT?

@CollinMatthews You are right. I always get standard and daylight savings mixed up. The intended time was ET

bought แน€50 YES

hits 50% or crosses 50%?

@Ziddletwix crosses

@MaxE or. it could resolve because it says 50% but if it goes from 51% to 49% that counts too

bought แน€100 YES

Should resolve yes

@Jolliest Wow I might have thrown by not reading that it starts in 24 hours. Whatever

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