The article in question: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/contra-hanson-on-medical-effectiveness

I will not bet in this market. If Robin doesn't post publicly about it in some form, I will email him when the market closes to try to get a resolution. If Robin fails to post publicly about it or respond by 5/8, I will resolve the market N/A.

(If Robin gives a continuous answer, like it's 90% correctly characterizing him, I will try to resolve the market to that value.)