Will I marry Natália Mendonça before July 1st 2022?
10
Ṁ101Ṁ1.9kresolved May 24
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm currently engaged to Natália Mendonça. This market resolves to YES if I marry her before July 1st 2022. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Depends on how much being married on that date vs. ceremony on that date matters. For example do you elope if there is a covid issue that cancels the
wedding? Who knows there could be a visa application or mortgage application depending on this or some other time constraint such as religious belief in children in wedlock OR the other way around the gathering is the most important thing so delaying to preserve that aspect would be more likely. Interesting one, need more info to bet.
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