Artificial intelligence (AI) has been increasingly integrated into a variety of applications, including those focused on simulating romantic partners. AI-powered romantic partner applications, platforms, and services utilize advanced algorithms, chatbots, and virtual avatars to create realistic and engaging companionship experiences for users.

Will the market for AI-powered romantic partners exceed $10 billion in yearly revenue before 2030?

Resolution criteria:

This question will resolve based on the following conditions and criteria:

1. Definition of AI-powered romantic partner applications, platforms, or services:

   a. AI entities that simulate or emulate romantic relationships, including but not limited to: i. Text or voice-based chatbots with natural language processing and generation capabilities. ii. Virtual avatars or characters with interactive, visual, and/or auditory features. iii. Physical robots designed to simulate human or humanoid romantic companionship.

   b. The AI-powered romantic partner must possess capabilities, such as: i. Engaging in meaningful conversations and exhibiting a level of emotional intelligence. ii. Adapting to and learning from user preferences, behaviors, and communication styles. iii. Providing various forms of virtual or physical affection, companionship, and intimacy.

   c. The market includes both standalone applications, platforms, or services and integrations into existing social media, gaming, or virtual reality platforms. It does not include AI-powered matchmaking or dating services that primarily focus on connecting users with other humans.

2. Market size determination criteria:

   a. The market size must be represented in United States Dollars (USD) and based on the accumulated global revenue generated by the sales, subscriptions, or usage fees of AI-powered romantic partner applications, platforms, or services within a single calendar year.

   b. The market size must exceed $10 billion in yearly revenue before January 1st, 2030.

   c. Revenue generated by advertising, data sales, or other indirect revenue streams associated with AI-powered romantic partner applications, platforms, or services should be included in the market size calculation.

3. Credible evidence requirements:

   a. The market size must be determined based on data, research, or projections from one or more of the following sources: i. Reputable market research firms or consultancies. ii. Major industry players or stakeholders involved in the development, distribution, or promotion of AI-powered romantic partner applications, platforms, or services. iii. Academic institutions, government agencies, or non-profit organizations with expertise in the fields of artificial intelligence, virtual reality, or human-computer interaction.

   b. The source(s) must provide a clear and transparent methodology for estimating the market size, including any relevant assumptions, data sources, or calculations.

   c. The evidence must be published, publicly accessible, and verifiable before January 1st, 2030.

4. Resolution process:

   a. I will use my discretion when evaluating the credibility of the evidence provided, possibly in consultation with experts.

   b. If multiple credible sources present conflicting market size estimates, the question will resolve to "YES" if the majority of the sources report a market size exceeding $10 billion in yearly revenue before January 1st, 2030.

   c. If no credible evidence is available before January 1st, 2030, the question will resolve as "Unable to resolve due to insufficient information."

   d. Any resolution is subject to change if new credible evidence emerges after the initial resolution but before January 1st, 2030.