Will mainland North America experience a magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake in 2023?
35
353
650
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

North America is from the Colombian/Panamanian border, 50 miles or less off the coast. Hawai'i and other islands do not count for the purpose of this market.

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M 7.2 - 106 km S of Sand Point, Alaska

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000kg30/executive

106km is more than 50 miles and Sand point is on an island, but could it be closer to mainland in a different direction?

Distance to somewhere like 54°23'34.8"N 160°45'43.2"W near Belkofski looks to be slightly closer.

bought Ṁ5 YES from 16% to 17%

@ChristopherRandles Yeah, I never found a straightline that was less than 60 miles from the earthquake epicenter for the Alaskan 7.2 one. Confirming that I'm not going to resolve YES based off of that earthquake. Don't know where I came up with 50 miles as a limit, but that's the criteria!

bought Ṁ30 of NO

this is like maybe 1/year so with >50% of year gone should be <50% odds

So probably not close enough but it would be good to get this confirmed for betting on this market.

Last 2 omments was meant to be replying to @kenakofer sorry