MattP avatar
Matt P
closes Jan 2, 2025
Who will sit in Dianne Feinstein's US Senate seat starting in 2025?

Resolves to whoever is sworn as US Senator from California, in 2025, in the seat currently occupied by Dianne Feinstein.

Duplicate answers will be ignored in favor of the older answer.

Creator betting policy: I will bet on this market as with any other market.

Close date updated to 2025-01-01 11:59 pm

Jan 26, 10:10pm: Who will sit in Dianne Feinstein's US Senate seat starting in 2024? → Who will sit in Dianne Feinstein's US Senate seat starting in 2025?

^ updated so question reflects original intent. If this caused anyone to lose mana somehow, let me know and I'll tip it back.

MattP avatarAdam Schiff
26%
MattP avatarKatie Porter
25%
MattP avatarRo Khanna
22%
jfjurchen avatarBarbara Lee
18%
Add your answer
Sort by:
Matt P answered
Dianne Feinstein
MCMillennium avatar
Mike
Matt P answered
Adam Schiff
jack avatar
Jack
MCMillennium avatar
Mikebought Ṁ10 of Barbara Lee

Should the close date for this be Jan 4, 2025?

jfjurchen avatar
J. F. Jurchenbought Ṁ15 of Dianne Feinstein

good point, buying shares of Dianne Feinstein

jack avatar
Jackbought Ṁ25 of Adam Schiff

@jfjurchen Reading the resolution criteria, it should not resolve to Dianne Feinstein unless she is reelected to another term.

MCMillennium avatar
Mike

@jack I thought the winner of the 2024 Senate election is sworn in on January 3, 2025?

MCMillennium avatar
Mike

Market description says

Resolves to whoever is sworn as US Senator from California, in 2024, in the seat currently occupied by Dianne Feinstein.

jfjurchen avatar
J. F. Jurchensold Ṁ16 of Dianne Feinstein

@MCMillennium My interpretation is that this market will probably resolve N/A, unless for some reason somebody gets sworn in in 2024.

jack avatar
Jack

I'd bet 99% that this was a mistake.

jack avatar
Jack

@MattP Seems like there's an error in this market - 2024 is election year but 2025 is the start of the term.

MattP avatar
Matt P

@jack yep, completely my mistake. Intent was the start of the 2025 term elected in 2024. I thiiink since the only major effects thus far have been people assuming it will most likely resolve N/A, it doesn't seem crazy to just edit.

MattP avatar
Matt P

@MattP if anyone has an issue with my making this edit and can explain how they lost mana though originally betting under the originally stated criteria, let me know how and how much and I'll tip it back.