Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ2872026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A humanoid AGI is a robot that is able to function and interact with its world environment autonomously and may be given certain limited rights and responsibilities. The primary purpose is to supplement human workforce, and provide services to the human society.
If such a robot is deployed in a city or test bed environment with more than 1000 actual human residents, this question is resolved. The time limit for this to happen is end of 2025. The implementation does not need to be permanent or successful. It just needed to have occurred.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2032?
85% chance
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
61% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
39% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
34% chance
Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?
16% chance
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
22% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
32% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
15% chance
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
64% chance