Will Manifold Markets do something for Petrov Day 2023?
31
closes in 2 hours
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ44 +348.0%
New probability
23% +1.2%
This market resolves to YES if Manifold Markets does something on their website in an official capacity on 2023-09-26 which is (in my judgement) clearly intended as an observance of Petrov Day. The observance must be on the website itself, not (e.g.) on Discord.
A featured market counts if it is explicitly done as an observance of Petrov Day, but not if it is a market betting on someone else's observance of Petrov Day.
NO in 2022: https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-manifold-markets-do-something-d0b3c8aa0173
Get Ṁ500 play money
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