Will Manifold Markets do something for Petrov Day 2023?

31

closes in 2 hours

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ44 +348.0%

New probability

23% +1.2%

This market resolves to YES if Manifold Markets does something on their website in an official capacity on 2023-09-26 which is (in my judgement) clearly intended as an observance of Petrov Day. The observance must be on the website itself, not (e.g.) on Discord.

A featured market counts if it is explicitly done as an observance of Petrov Day, but not if it is a market betting on someone else's observance of Petrov Day.

NO in 2022: https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-manifold-markets-do-something-d0b3c8aa0173

Get Ṁ500 play money

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0 NO payouts

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Ṁ83

Ṁ45

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