Will Manifold Markets do something for Petrov day?

Ṁ4.2K

Ṁ260

resolved Sep 27

Resolved

ALL

This market resolves to YES if Manifold Markets does something on their website in an official capacity on 9/26/22 which is (in my judgement) clearly intended as an observance of Petrov day. The observance must be on the website itself, not (e.g.) on Discord.

Previous manifold holiday market: https://manifold.markets/charlie/will-manifold-markets-do-something

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ126
2		Ṁ87
3		Ṁ50
4		Ṁ14
5		Ṁ13

7 Comments

23 Holders

182 Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ900 of NO

not that I know of

bought Ṁ200 of NO

@Sinclair :(

bought Ṁ10 of YES

I predict they will feature a Petrov Day market, which is something that a regular user cannot do.

predicted YES

@MartinRandall Weeell, it's against the spirit of the question, so I'll say it doesn't count.

predicted YES

@Yev Just for that I'm going to launch my missiles.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Does creating a market count? If so, by whom?

predicted YES

@stone Good question. If it's a market that any one of us could have created, that's a NO. If it has some new features (e.g. the entire site goes down if its probability reaches a certain threshold), that's a YES.