Arguably premature since the convention hasn't happened yet. (I know the chances are like sub-1% at this point, but still.... technically still a chance) xD

I have a crack team of ninjas who ensure that I never have to unresolve a market.

Market on what would happen if he doesn't, which is an interesting question but doesn't have enough traders to know how accurately it's priced:

@chrisjbillington personally I prefer non-conditional markets, so

/MartinRandall/trump-vs-biden-2024

but you need to do math to pull the conditional probability out.