How many eyes will I have at market close?
14
333
resolved May 28
Resolved
2
An experiment in whether numeric markets work in easy cases.
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why did I lose money on betting the correct answer when the market was at 4.9?
@tcheasdfjkl I don't know. Maybe fees?
Current expected value is exactly five, which is reassuring, I wasn't sure what to do with 94% of a fifth eye.
hmm when I try putting in a bet for 2 the interface tells me I can't make any profit on this! what?
@tcheasdfjkl maybe the interface knows that when I was a kid some bully called me "speccy four eyes".
bought Ṁ10 of
Apparently putting M$10 on `2` _lowered_ the probability, which seems super broken to me.
Uh...
@EnopoletusHarding I will resolve this market N/A if anyone attempts to move it...