Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2026, President Donald Trump grants a federal pardon to Sean "Diddy" Combs for any federal offenses. Official confirmation of the pardon must be available through reputable news outlets or official government communications. If no such pardon is granted by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
Background
Sean "Diddy" Combs, a prominent music mogul, was arrested on September 16, 2024, in New York City following a grand jury indictment. He faces federal charges including racketeering, sex trafficking by force, and transportation for purposes of prostitution. Combs has pleaded not guilty to these charges and is currently held in federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn. His trial began on May 5, 2025. (en.wikipedia.org)
President Donald Trump has the constitutional authority to grant pardons for federal offenses, as outlined in Article II, Section 2 of the U.S. Constitution. This power allows the president to forgive federal crimes, effectively nullifying any remaining penalties associated with the conviction. (en.wikipedia.org)
As of May 30, 2025, President Trump stated that no formal requests for a pardon for Combs have been made, but he is open to reviewing the case. (reuters.com)
Considerations
Legal Proceedings: Combs' trial is ongoing, and the outcome may influence the likelihood of a pardon.
Presidential Clemency Trends: President Trump has previously exercised his pardon power for various individuals, including celebrities and political figures. (en.wikipedia.org)
Public and Political Reaction: Granting a pardon to Combs could elicit significant public and political responses, potentially affecting the president's decision.
Recent Developments in Sean 'Diddy' Combs' Legal Case:
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