Which poll will be the most accurate for the Dutch 2025 elections?
4
150Ṁ135Dec 30
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
28%
Ipsos I&O
20%
Verian/Een Vandaag
48%
Maurice de Hond
4%
Of all pollsters making polls for the Dutch elections in 2025, who will make the most acuate last poll? I will only count the last poll that they make before the exit poll on election day. Everyone will get a 'score' based on how many seats they predicted wrong. The poll with the least incorrectly predicted seats wins. If two polls have the same number of incorrectly predicted seats, I will choose the one who predicted the order of the parties the best. If there is then still no clear winner, I'll resolve it 50/50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Any 'new' party wins seats in the 2025 Dutch elections?
38% chance
Outcome of the Dutch 2025 parliamentary elections (resolves according to seat share)
Which party will be the biggest in the Dutch parliament elections of 2025.
What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025
Who will be the next Dutch prime minister?
Which political parties will be part of the next dutch governing coalition?
Progressive parties gain seats in 2025 Dutch elections?
63% chance
GL/PvdA wins more seats than VVD in 2025 Dutch elections?
85% chance
Left-wing parties gain seats in 2025 Dutch elections?
72% chance
Which parties will gain seats in the next Dutch General Election?