Background

Enrique Tarrio, former Proud Boys leader, was recently pardoned by Trump for his involvement in the January 6th attack on Congress. In an interview with Greg Kelly, he stated he intends to run for office (though he hasn't stated what) in 2026 or 2028. Will he make it to any general ballot for any elected position in 2026?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Enrique Tarrio is listed on a general ballot anywhere in the United States in 2026. If and when Tarrio announces he's running for any specific position, this market will shift to reflect that. This counts for the 2026 election only - if he runs in 2025, it does not count.

Resolves NO if Tarrio fails to win in a primary election and thusly does not appear on the ballot. If Tarrio announces he has no intention of running in 2026, drops out of a race long before the primary, or dies this market will resolve NO. If he drops out close enough to the primary that he will still be on the primary ballot, it will not.