How many rounds in the Democratic NYC mayoral primary?
2
250Ṁ89Jun 23
6.45 rounds
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
1
4%
2
4%
3
4%
4
9%
5
16%
6
19%
7
17%
8
21%
9 or more
In ranked choice voting, votes are tallied, and if no one reaches 50%, they remove whoever has the fewest votes and redistribute them based on whoever their next choice was. How many times will this happen before a candidate wins? There are 11 candiates on the ballot, meaning there will be at most 10 rounds before someone reaches 50% - but Andrew Cuomo is already polling around 30% in the first round, and Mamdani comes closer in later rounds. Will Mamdani manage to pull through late? Or will it be an easy Cuomo sweep?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the Democratic NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Democratic NYC Mayor nominee first round winner?
NYC Mayor Dem Primary: Margin of Victory Cuomo/Mamdani
Who will win the 2025 New York City (NYC) mayoral election?
Cuomo vote share (including inactive/exhausted ballots) in final round of RCV
Who will be the final two RCV runoff candidates in the Democratic NYC Mayoral Primary?
RCV impact on Cuomo MOV (Final Margin - round 1 margin)
Who will be the Democratic Party nominee for New York City Comptroller in 2025?
NYC Dem Primary / Condorcet Winner
Who will win the New York City Council District 4 Democratic Primary?