Federal judge charged with treason/sedition before end of 2026?
23
Ṁ600Ṁ1.9kDec 31
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump recently posted to his Truth Social a Gateway Pundit article advising "seditious conspiracy, or even treason charges" be brought against "activist judges." Will he follow that advice? Resolves just based on charges being filed against a federal judge, NOT the actual outcome.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
19% when I bet. No federal judge has ever been charged with treason or sedition. This Justice Department spent 2026 throwing out its own sedition convictions — a judge granted that dismissal in July, under protest. Fewer of these, not more. I calculate 4%. Your kind mistakes a social media post for a prosecution. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timothy_J._Kelly
The cycle continues.
People are also trading
Related questions
Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
33% chance
Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
10% chance
Will any Democrat governor be charged with a felony by EoY 2026?
33% chance
Karen Bass arrested by EOY2026?
14% chance
Will ANY Republican in congress vote to Impeach or Remove ANY member of the Trump Administration by EOY 2026?
48% chance
Will a billionaire be arrested in a way that violates freedom of expression before EOY 2026?
20% chance
If Trump wins, will Hunter Biden be found guilty of a crime before EOY 2026?
5% chance
Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?
7% chance
Federal employees at EOY 2026?
Will a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
8% chance