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MANIFOLD
Will Dean Phillips meet the delegate threshold of 15% in the Democratic New Hampshire primary?
38
Ṁ710Ṁ13k
resolved Jan 24
Resolved
YES

15.0000…. percent or higher, no rounding.

Does NOT depend on whether the delegates will eventually be replaced by a state convention or refuse to be seated at the national convention. Purely about whether he reaches 15% of total votes.

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The results are coming in now, and it looks pretty good for this question so far:

predictedYES

I have a similar market, different levels of certainty in here