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MANIFOLD
Will a major White House official leave office by February 15, 2024?
23
Ṁ470Ṁ3.3k
resolved Feb 16
Resolved
NO

In a speech on February 8, Joe Biden

blamed staff for mishandling documents that led to the special counsel investigation. Negative headlines after the speech could also put pressure on him to put blame on a specific staffer. Will anyone resign/be forced to resign?

I won’t trade in this market as “major” can be subjective. But this person would need to be fairly senior, with a title including words like “deputy” or “senior.”

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Doesn’t seem likely!

“White House officials were in the dark all week about what Hur would do, knowing the worst of what could be in the document but hoping that their back-channel appeal would force some edits. “Hur did not indicate whether he would make any changes,” said a person familiar with the process.

Hur was apparently unmoved by the Biden legal team’s arguments. When White House officials saw the final version on Thursday it was all still there: the repeated references to Biden’s “hazy,” “significantly limited,” and “poor” memory, and the comments about Biden’s “totally irresponsible” actions.”

This is a little underpriced. Garland wouldn’t count since he isn’t WH, but seems like Biden is looking for someone to blame. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/09/white-house-frustration-with-garland-grows-00140813