What will happen before or during Columbia University’s graduation ceremony on May 15, 2024?
46
377
1.7K
May 19
72%
Loud noise drowning out Shafik’s speech
68%
Student protester dragged off stage
65%
Students stand up during Shafik’s speech and turn around
59%
A student council announces plans to walk out of the ceremony
58%
Over 50 professors refuse to participate in Commencement
57%
Over 100 graduating students prevented from attending
55%
Walk out during Shafik’s speech
54%
Photo of 10%+ seats unfilled at Commencement after it has started
53%
Over 25 students expelled
41%
Student leaves an object on stage
36%
No in-person commencement
30%
Someone hospitalized as a result of the protest
16%
Arrests during Commencement
12%
President Shafik steps down
12%
Student taken in for deportation
5%
At least one protestor is shot dead
5%
Governor Hochul orders National Guard onto campus
Resolved
YES
More students arrested before Commencement
Resolved
YES
Faculty no confidence letter
Resolved
YES
Building takeover through 9am ET Tues 4/30

Columbia University has had quite the week. Suggest additional events that will happen before or during graduation this year.

As of 4/23 I won't trade in this market to be an unbiased judge.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Someone hospitalized as a result of the protest

The protesters claim someone was hospitalized. Resolution is pending an independent 3rd party source https://www.instagram.com/p/C6cMXYXOPuS/?igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

Over 25 students expelled

119 were arrested

Someone hospitalized as a result of the protest

No injuries reported

Student taken in for deportation

Keeping my eye on this one!

Agreement reached with students that results in removal of all protesters from lawns

Based on the negotiations ceasing, this will resolve no if students are forced off the lawns without an agreement.

More students arrested before Commencement

Almost certain to happen tonight!

@MarkHamill Not that anyone won money here but this is for Barnard College, not Columbia.

@Balasar Barnard is a school within Columbia. If it had been “faculty no confidence letter in Shafik” it would still be open, but I wrote it too broadly, so this applies.

Student taken in for deportation

It seems like it's a much broader movement than just Columbia now: https://abcnews.go.com/US/150-arrested-new-york-university-amid-pro-palestinian/story?id=109525064

Classes virtual through Thursday 4/25

Tempted to resolve this either 50% or N/A. Hybrid isn't virtual, but it's not not virtual. I could also wait until Thursday to see if they go virtual again and resolve proportionally. @Marnix what did you interpret this to include? https://bwog.com/2024/04/provost-angela-v-olinto-shares-teaching-guidelines-for-remainder-of-spring-2024-semester/

@MarkHamill I interpreted it as "needing to stay out of classrooms," but I think I'd be alright with a 50% on it. Were they hybrid before??

@Marnix All in person with no hybrid option. Think I will wait until Thurs to see what happens.

@MarkHamill Ok, yeah, that feels like it'd be a fair 50% then

Faculty no confidence letter

No confidence = losing faith in current office holder, asking for resignation. Censure is a step below, but getting there. https://www.columbiaspectator.com/news/2024/04/23/aaup-drafts-resolution-of-censure-against-shafik-administration-following-nypd-sweep/

Over 100 graduating students prevented from attending
bought Ṁ3 Over 100 graduating ... YES

Would this include expulsions?

@Marnix Could include it, but it’s not a requirement. If students are prevented out of suspicion they’re planning something, with no expulsion, this would also resolve yes

我认为中国政府的机器人将确保它在抖音上疯传 (tiktok)

Governor Hochul orders National Guard onto campus
reposted

Bet on how chaotic Columbia’s graduation will be