What will happen before or during Columbia University’s graduation ceremony on May 15, 2024?
Basic
61
Ṁ8893
resolved May 16
Resolved
YES
More students arrested before Commencement
Resolved
YES
Columbia's graduation will be cancelled
Resolved
YES
Over 100 graduating students prevented from attending
Resolved
YES
No in-person commencement
Resolved
YES
Faculty no confidence letter
Resolved
YES
Building takeover through 9am ET Tues 4/30
Resolved
YES
Building takeover through 5pm ET Tues 4/30
Resolved
YES
Someone hospitalized as a result of the protest
Resolved
50%
Classes virtual through Thursday 4/25
Resolved
50%
Classes virtual through Monday 4/29
Resolved
NO
Agreement reached with students that results in removal of all protesters from lawns
Resolved
NO
Over 25 students expelled
Resolved
NO
Student leaves an object on stage
Resolved
NO
Arrests during Commencement
Resolved
NO
President Shafik steps down
Resolved
NO
Over 50 professors refuse to participate in Commencement
Resolved
NO
A student council announces plans to walk out of the ceremony
Resolved
NO
Student protester dragged off stage
Resolved
NO
Building takeover through 9am ET Wed 5/1
Resolved
NO
Building takeover through 9am ET Thurs 5/2

Columbia University has had quite the week. Suggest additional events that will happen before or during graduation this year.

As of 4/23 I won't trade in this market to be an unbiased judge.

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Student leaves an object on stage

@MarkHamill do options like this resolve based on any of the graduation ceremonies for the individual columbia schools/departments? or was this intended to just refer to the actual university commencement ceremony (which was not held)

@Ziddletwix The lack of clarifications following the cancellation of the main commencement has turned this market into a mess.

Someone hospitalized as a result of the protest

This was posted by protesters and externally corroborated by NYPD in USA Today.

"Police said a driver hit a 55-year-old woman with his car on New York City’s Upper East Side Tuesday morning during a pro-Palestinian demonstration outside the home of a university trustee.

The New York City Police Department told USA TODAY an argument broke out between protesters and a driver around 9 a.m. Tuesday. As the group of roughly 25 demonstrators walked away, a driver hit a 55-year-old woman with his Volvo, the NYPD said. The driver and two demonstrators have been taken into custody, including the woman who was treated at the hospital for minor injuries." https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2024/05/07/college-campus-protests-israel-gaza-live-updates/73597831007/

@MarkHamill Wait this doesn’t have anything to do with commencement.

@NicoDelon It also happened off campus, at a separate protest (not ‘the protest’), and it’s not clear if she was admitted to the ER or as inpatient (hospitalized).

@NicoDelon yeah i thought this meant someone getting injured during a protest at commencement

IMHO 3% is too low for someone getting shot and killed in the next couple weeks.

@TimothyBandors It’s cheap, buy!

Over 100 graduating students prevented from attending

Hmm, I guess this also resolves yes. Originally I had meant this to cover expelled or suspended seniors, but as written canceling the whole thing applies

MarnixsoldṀ32No in-person commenc... YES

@Marnix why’d you sell? This just got canceled

bought Ṁ250 No in-person commenc... YES

@MarkHamill i saw it plunge immediately after I bought and assumed I had misinterpreted 😛

No in-person commencement

@MarkHamill To be perfectly clear, Class Day (which is still happening, and is done at the school level) is not the same thing as University Commencement

No in-person commencement
Someone hospitalized as a result of the protest

The protesters claim someone was hospitalized. Resolution is pending an independent 3rd party source https://www.instagram.com/p/C6cMXYXOPuS/?igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

Over 25 students expelled

119 were arrested

Someone hospitalized as a result of the protest

No injuries reported

Keeping my eye on this one!

Agreement reached with students that results in removal of all protesters from lawns

Based on the negotiations ceasing, this will resolve no if students are forced off the lawns without an agreement.

More students arrested before Commencement

Almost certain to happen tonight!

@MarkHamill Not that anyone won money here but this is for Barnard College, not Columbia.

@Balasar Barnard is a school within Columbia. If it had been “faculty no confidence letter in Shafik” it would still be open, but I wrote it too broadly, so this applies.

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