Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season?
17
187
270
resolved Dec 5
Resolved
NO

This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name 21 or more storms during the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names 21 or more storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If 21 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it are included in NOAA’s count. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.


This market may only resolve to "No" after November 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not occurred before then.

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This resolution criteria I find deceptive to be frank.. since it is unlikely for that page to update by November 30

@MarcusAbramovitch a better source might be this page? https://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?loc=northatlantic Or if you want to stick with NHC need to cobble together links from the active info pages or find something else? There’s no ambiguity to the number of named NHC storms in the time period but you need to find a more frequently updated source.

predicted NO
predicted NO

@ChristopherRandles Great suggestion

@JoshuaHedlund hey guys, sorry i didn't see these comments. Anyone object to a NO resolution right now?