This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one American hostage currently held by Hamas is rescued by the U.S. by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A rescue is defined as a successful operation or negotiation that results in the release and safe return of an American hostage. The rescue operation or negotiation must be attributed to the U.S. and be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements.
If a rescue operation results in the return of at least one American hostage before the expiry date, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
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I consider this statement from the White House to be enough to resolve this question Yes. The statement comes from the US government and attributes the release of the hostages to themselves. It was difficult to tell before given that news statements were saying that it was Qatar etc. and so I left the market open. I also didn't have the time to read in dept before and clearly by market volatility, there was disagreement.
I currently have the market closed and want to wait for the polymarket market to resolve. Unless people think i should do otherwise.
@Panfilo It isn't a proxy because I want to resolve the market myself. It is heavily influenced though. From now on though, I anticipate just creating my own markets. This market had a big flaw of "attributed to the U.S." which is grey. It is better to just make it on the specific American hostages
@MarcusAbramovitch I must publicly apologize for being so tough on you in my comments. Your statement here clearly reflects your thoughtful intelligence, extracting a lesson from what I contributed (attribution, anyone?) to making a war zone here. Well done!
I did not participate in your market resolution, but I learned from you that you can have an interim between closing a market and resolving it. That’s useful, and given the circumstances…Wise move.
@MarcusAbramovitch
Given that this market is a duplicate of https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-rescue-at-least-one-american-hostage-from-hamas-by-oct-31 , will you resolve this YES if the Polymarket market resolves YES?
@nmehndir btw, this market is currently under dispute on Poly but will most likely resolve YES. Vote reveal starts at 8pm ET tonight and the market will resolve at 8pm ET tomorrow.
This is an official US government statement literally saying "we have secured the release of two Americans taken hostage by Hamas." Surely this is enough to resolve yes?
@MarcusAbramovitch Can we get a comment on what would resolve this market YES and what is currently missing for that? Let's stop the annoying drama in the comments.