Resolves YES as soon as Manifold reaches a 7-day average of at least 3000 DAU (daily active users).
Resolves NO if that threshold has not been reached on or before July 1st 2023.
The data source will be the Manifold stats page! For reference, Manifold DAU as of this market's creation is ~1100 with a peak of 1971.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8,935 | |
| 2 | Ṁ416 | |
| 3 | Ṁ324 | |
| 4 | Ṁ247 | |
| 5 | Ṁ244 |
removed by admin
@slope game From what I can see, the number of DAUs is the primary metric that they care about. Therefore, any equity reward won't be for general participation, but rather for sending thousands of individuals to the platform, as memestiny does. However, a person who is trading, creating useful markets, posting insightful remarks that are helpful to predicting, and so on is probably not going to get anything. To those who are driving, all of this is irrelevant information.
@MayMeta We do know the last 7 days individually and in the unlikely case it ever shoots up past 3k, we can re-resolve