The Whales vs Minnows market is among the most popular markets on Manifold and due to unclear resolution criteria, there has been much controversy regarding the closing/ending time of the market and many other aspects of the market.
While Isaac is usually very active Manifold, he has been conspicuously and strangely absent from Manifold and it's discord over the last several days that has caused panic and duress to some market participants he is betting against. This is made more strange by the fact that Isaac is the main holder on one side of the market which benefits from extensions and delays. However, Isaac has several times promised that his character is outstanding and that he would never be biased towards himself on the markets he creates.
April 17th is one week after the market close, the time at which the market is set to enter random resolution mode and 8pm EST is the time at which the market is currently scheduled to close. Will Isaac give a response as to what he intends to do with the WvM market?
For purposes of this market, Isaac must give an update either in the WvM market comment section, or one of the following Manifold discord channels regarding the closing of the WvM market:
#market discussion
#market discussion Discussion about the Whales v Minnows market
Since there is a small degree of subjectivity regarding an update, I won't bet on this market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
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@JosephNoonan That would make the correct answer YES, but I think the intention and understanding was pretty clear in this case.
@TobyBusickWarner Yes, I think so, but I was somewhat confused about it given that this market was set to stay open past 8 PM ET.
However, Isaac has several times promised that his character is outstanding and that he would never be biased towards himself on the markets he creates.
Alright, at this point I have to assume that this is intentional dishonesty; I don't see how anyone could make this many blatantly false statements by mistake.
@IsaacKing what do you deem false about this? You've said many times that you don't allow your positions in markets to bias your trading
Context for other traders: Marcus is not telling the truth, and I suspect at this point that they're intentionally lying or at least not caring very much about whether what they say is accurate. Every time they make one of these sorts of accusations, I ask for a link, or screenshot, or any other evidence that the thing in question actually happened. Every time, Marcus declines to provide any. I would encourage anyone dealing with Marcus to use a similar amount of caution with regards to their factual claims, and ask for evidence rather than simply trusting their word.
I have Marcus blocked due to their disruptive behavior on some of my markets, so IDK if I'll get notifications for further replies here, but feel free to PM me if you have anything to say for which you'd like a response.
Info: He just created a market
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-scott-alexander-move-from-subs