This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is still recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip by Jan 15, 2024. "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip. If at any time prior to the expiry date, Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority, the market will resolve to "No". In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with the majority of control will be considered the primary governing authority. This market will resolve according to credible reporting.
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@MarcusAbramovitch How is this obviously a yes; I posted details in the below conversations
@JayeshChatlani Hamas still control all civil infrastructure, and they are the only local power actually handling any type of civilian work. Even if they are an authoritarian regime and doing a bad job at it
@haze Doesn’t matter. As the bio says the group or authority with the majority of control will be considered the primary governing authority
@JayeshChatlani It does matter, it's not even close to having the majority of control. but this will resolve soon anyway.
@haze What are you talking about https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1745367323253281182?s=46&t=YswvYsYAZ8eCrk1zFHCgzA