Will any of the 2023 Nobel Laureates be Jewish?
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resolved Oct 5
Resolved
YES

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Hey guys, I'm not going to bet on this out of principle, but this definitely resolves yes for Drew Weissman. Noted that I should be more specific. It wasn't meant to be orthodox jews only.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Drew Weissman is Jewish

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drew_Weissman

Should resolve YES

sold Ṁ1 of NO

@BenjaminShindel His mother is not Jewish, and generally you trace through the female line. Not sure if it counts, I have no strong feelings either way, but I’m not sure it’s a slam dunk YES.

predicted YES

@DanMan314 That's technically true but only technically. There's no reason for us to judge this like conservatives rabbis would. He has Jewish heritage and grew up as Jewish. He's probably more Jewish than me, lol. Let's not get into this kind of stupid Judaism gatekeeping.

predicted NO

It's not obvious how this resolves to me. The title definitely meant 'ethnically' jewish, not religious. So, what % is the line? 1/4 is probably too small. 1/2 is reasonable, but ~1 or >1/2 is probably reasonable too, depending on what you want to predict.

But it doesn't really matter. The way people classify ethnicities is pretty constructed, anyway, if a half-African/half-European person won the 'are they white' market would resolve no and the 'are they black' would resolve yes.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@jacksonpolack I'd say that if he sees himself as Jewish, than he's Jewish. And that does seem to be the case

predicted NO

I'd imagine/bet he does, but this is what the first article I clicked on says

Weissman is the child of a Jewish father and an Italian non-Jewish mother, he told the Philadelphia Jewish Exponent two years ago. While his mother did not convert to Judaism, he said, he grew up celebrating all the Jewish holidays. He and his wife, Mary Ellen Weissman, who was raised observant, continued to do so with their children, although the family was not religious, he said. Their children attended Hebrew school at Temple Beth Hillel/Beth El, a Conservative synagogue.

“I’m more of a Daoist, in that point of view that I think that Earth, nature is the supreme — the main component of life. And that’s what needs to be celebrated,” he told the Exponent.

predicted YES

I mean... he's Jewish. Come on folks, what are we even doing here.

bought Ṁ25 of YES

The last time this happened was 2015, before that 1999, and before that 1983.

So roughly once every 16 years. Betting this up to 85 as I'm somewhat risk averse.

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