Will any company be acquired for over $20B in 2023?
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resolved Oct 16
Resolved
YES

Last year, Adobe acquired Figma for $20B. Will another company acquisition happen this year for over $20B?

Note: I will count stock in the purchasing company to be marked to market at the time of the deal. In the Figma case, it was roughly $20B because half of it was Adobe stock. I would count that as a $20B acquisition.

I also won't count a merger between companies, only an acquisition.

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sold Ṁ4 of NO

Hi guys, i never receieved notifications for the comments below. That said, the example of Adobe acquiring Figma was about the deal going through, not a definitive agreement since I wanted the deal to go through and not be blocked by a regulator.

bought Ṁ5 of NO

@Gabrielle Don’t agree. The example used in the description was the Adobe-Figma deal. This deal actually still hasn’t been consummated as the MSFT-ATVI deal has today, both were definitive agreements signed in 2022.

I think the reading based on the example in the description should be ‘definitive agreement’.

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/718877/000110465922005156/tm223212d8_defa14a.htm

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/796343/000114036122033413/ny20005310x2_8k.htm

predicted YES

@c0m A definitive agreement isn’t an acquisition though, it’s an agreement to do an acquisition at a later date. In any case, if we’re considering definitive agreements, then we should resolve YES on ExxonMobil acquiring Pioneer

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/11/business/economy/exxon-mobil-pioneer-natural-resources.html

Exxon Mobil announced on Wednesday that it was acquiring Pioneer Natural Resources for $59.5 billion

https://investor.exxonmobil.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0000950103-23-014885/dp201349_8k.htm

predicted NO

@Gabrielle This looks like it! Can’t really read the description any other way. @MarcusAbramovitch

predicted YES

When does the acquisition “event” become confirmed? & can you answer the other questions @MarcusAbramovitch

Does existing deal count? ATVI acquisition is a potential $60B.

What about acquiring 49% stake in a company for 20B? (like MSFT in OpenAI for 10B)