Intra day values count.
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@deagol Another +4.4% needed in 1 trading day 4 hours seems a long shot.
Near 10% every 15 days? Hmm. when it is currently so close, is that the right pattern or should 15 July have significant probability and rest then rise much more slowly?
Not quite sure what you are saying with 3.5%, are you saying that is near max daily movement? So 2% is too high? If 3.5% is the 95 percentile for daily movement then ... or should I be thinking something different?
@ChristopherRandles It was within 3.5% of $4T when I posted at 11:45 AM ET, I think around the high of the day $158.71.
As for your first point, yes, option pricing models have time premium decaying proportionally to the square root of time to expiry. I wasn't saying it would happen by Monday, just that all the option prices seemed to underestimate NVDA capacity of rallying 3-6% in a single day, or a week or two (near +12% this week), of course not every day or week but not uncommon.