Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
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25
Ṁ1119
2025
48%
chance

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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I don't have any mana to bet yes, but the social security actuarial table gives an 85 year old male only 10.5% chance of dying within the next year.

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