Is @n99m the same person as @levifinkelstein and/or @hmys ?
14
506
αΉ€270
resolved Aug 13
Resolved
NO

I won't make any backroom deals to resolve this either way. This resolves only when definite evidence comes up. Until then, it'll stay open.

The market will resolve based on whether or not the @n99m account is operated by the person that controls the @levifinkelstein account and/or the @hmys account BEFORE this market was created - to the degree that all relevant evidence points to.

Transferring the account ownership/management to a friend after this market's creation to force a NO resolution wouldn't count.

I won't bet on this market.

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predicted NO

Sorry, I've not been that active on manifold. Where do I submit my evidence that me and n99m are the same person?

OK, I am closing this question. I have been provided a good amount of evidence for "No". Does anyone want to provide me with evidence for yes? If not, I will resolve in 48h.

@MarcusAbramovitch @ShadowyZephyr im looking at you and the bots

predicted YES

@MarcusAbramovitch I have no evidence, I just thought it was more likely than 10%. Resolve it NO then.

@ShadowyZephyr thanks. In that case, I am resolving No

sold αΉ€358 of YES

@MarcusAbramovitch can you give some examples of evidence I could provide to make this market resolve NO?

@levifinkelstein I expect the process to be similar to the is Levi hmys market. I'll weigh all evidence. I'm not betting

predicted NO

@MarcusAbramovitch I don't wanna just post a bunch of random shit since I don't know what will move your probability above the "definite" threshold. So I'm trying to figure out what would in theory constitute definite evidence for you. The Levi HMYS market had standards of evidence far beyond what I would personally consider reasonable.

Would a bunch of logs of me talking to n99m about his manifold trading activity work? What about the logs relevant to the other n99m market where he left due to Frank Hassle videos? What about simultaneous VC interview with me and n99m?

Please tell me what sorts of stuff would convince you.

predicted YES

Me and n99m are not the same, I'm just buying YES because I'm crazy, stupid, and impulsive.

predicted YES

@levifinkelstein and BTE as the sensible person he is picked up on this and bet in a reasonable manner as he often does.

bought αΉ€5 of YES

@levifinkelstein Levi and BTE decided to switch accounts for a day??

bought αΉ€50 of NO

@levifinkelstein I had @n99m record themself saying "supercalafragalisticexpealidocious" like from Mary Poppins, you know? Anyway, why don't you send me a voice message on discord saying that and I can see if that helps at least resolve n99m. @firstuserhere @MarcusAbramovitch why not have @hmys record it too?

predicted YES

@BTE I'd be willing to do this if I can be guaranteed a certain outcome depending on how the tapes turn out, how about it?

predicted NO

@levifinkelstein Do you mean I give a definitive opinion or we treat it as definitive fact?

predicted YES

@BTE Just tell me what would happen depending on the outcomes

predicted YES

@levifinkelstein you bet YES, are you willing to say to manifold team that you are controlling n99m's account? because im pretty sure that is against alt rules

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr He isn’t controlling n99m but may have been controlling HMYS at one point.

predicted YES

@BTE "He isn’t controlling n99m" πŸ˜‚ How can you be so certain?

predicted NO

@levifinkelstein Well are you?

predicted YES

@BTE I thought you knew

predicted NO

@levifinkelstein And I thought you were semi-interesting. I guess we were both probably wrong.

predicted YES

@BTE "And I thought you were semi-interesting" So does this mean I'm not-interesting or fully-interesting?

predicted NO

@levifinkelstein I think it means you are fully annoying LOL

predicted YES

@BTE 😭

BTE vs Levi 2: Electric Boogaloo

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr What if I am Levi? And Levi really is Levina?