MANIFOLD
Government shutdown end date?
40
Ṁ150Ṁ6.4k
resolved Oct 6
Resolved
does not resolve by 5/10
100%96%
does not resolve by 5/10
4%
on or before 2/10
0.2%
on or before 3/10
0.3%
on or before 4/10

This is an announcement to update on the confusing options for the question. As the Government does not seem to be ending their shutdown any time soon, the option "on or before 9/10" will be changed into "Does not resolve by 5/10", ensuring that all shutdown end dates are included. This change is made at 02:35, 5/10 UTC time to avoid the manipulation of the correct answer. I apologize for the inconvenience and confusion caused.

This market checks for any official announcement by the Government of the United States of America of the funding of the Government, to end its shutdown since October 1, 2025.

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This is an announcement to update on the confusing options for the question. As the Government does not seem to be ending their shutdown any time soon, the option "on or before 9/10" will be changed into "Does not resolve by 5/10", ensuring that all shutdown end dates are included. This change is made at 02:35, 5/10 UTC time to avoid the manipulation of the correct answer. I apologize for the inconvenience and confusion caused.

And you buy up the market to suit yourself? @mods this guy is changing a market option and betting to suit himself.

@JackP Changing the market is due to the fact there has been a mistake where dates after 9/10 are not included, and me buying any of the options does not interfere with the result, as I don't work in the government. Furthermore, 5/10 has not ended and the time period is still in prediction and not in the result phase. There is no relationship between changing market options and me buying options, hope this clarifies your concern.

@Manson @mods should have resolved N/A if you messed up the choices - very bad handling on your part

@Manson There absolutely is a relationship. Prior to your announcement, that was one reasonable interpretation of the market. The other was that it would n/a if none of the date ranges occurred. (There might be others.) This market is different than the original interpreted as "assuming the government shutdown ends by the last listed date, which range will it end in?" which is what the n/a outcome would mean.

It sure looks like you used your private knowledge (which version of the market this was) to trade it.

@Manson Does not resolve by 5/10 is nearly the opposite of on or before 9/10. Because I bought NO before you changed it, you should pay me as if these were YES shares. M10 please.

If not you, someone else can pay me.

sold Ṁ61 NO

lol the fact that this market is mutually exclusive means it should be N/A'd

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Balasar yes this should be NA'd, shouldn't be linked

@Manson What if it's still shutdown after 9/10?

Your date format is confusing to Americans.

@Xiphias It’s also confusing to non-Americans who assume it will be formatted American

@tryingosling ISO 8601 or bust

@Xiphias they should have used Unix time

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