This market resolves YES if Utah Amendment A (Shall the Utah Constitution be amended to change how proposed constitutional amendments are published, requiring publication for 60 days immediately before the general election in a manner established by state law instead of in newspapers?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Simple majority of votes cast on the amendment (Utah Const. art. XXIII §1: 'a majority of the electors voting thereon')

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Lt. Governor publishes amendments and legislative ballot questions online (Utah Public Notice Website and LG site) for 60 days; H.B. 481 takes effect.

• NO: Newspaper publication in each county for two months before the election continues.

Results: resolves on the result certified by Utah Lieutenant Governor / State Board of Canvassers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://vote.utah.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/2026-Voter-Information-Pamphlet.pdf