Who will be the 2024 Dem Nominee, and will they win or lose?
Basic
216
135k
Nov 11
55%
Kamala Harris Nominee, Loses
41%
Kamala Harris Nominee, Wins
2%
Joe Biden Nominee, Loses
1.9%
Other

Resolves based on who is nominated at the Democratic National Convention in August, and whether they win the presidential election.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Important variation to this question: how would being President AND nominee affect Harris's chances compared to if she's the nominee but not President

@ManifoldPolitics more liquidity please

opened a Ṁ150 Joe Biden Nominee, Wins NO at 27% order
bought Ṁ67 Joe Biden Nominee, Wins NO

You can put a limit at 30, so it automatically buys shares whenever someone buys a no share and the chance of “yes” goes below 30%. It saves a ton on transaction fees and gets you more volume.

opened a Ṁ129 Joe Biden Nominee, Wins NO at 27% order

Fill my limit order pls Icarus

Great market but could use more subsidies? Tiny bets move the market...