Who will be the 2024 Dem Nominee, and will they win or lose?
Nov 11
Kamala Harris Nominee, Loses
Kamala Harris Nominee, Wins
Joe Biden Nominee, Loses

Resolves based on who is nominated at the Democratic National Convention in August, and whether they win the presidential election.

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Important variation to this question: how would being President AND nominee affect Harris's chances compared to if she's the nominee but not President

@ManifoldPolitics more liquidity please

opened a Ṁ150 Joe Biden Nominee, Wins NO at 27% order
bought Ṁ67 Joe Biden Nominee, Wins NO

You can put a limit at 30, so it automatically buys shares whenever someone buys a no share and the chance of “yes” goes below 30%. It saves a ton on transaction fees and gets you more volume.

opened a Ṁ129 Joe Biden Nominee, Wins NO at 27% order

Fill my limit order pls Icarus

Great market but could use more subsidies? Tiny bets move the market...