Who would win the presidential election if they were the Democratic Party nominee after Joe Biden?
Basic
18
แน7609resolved Nov 7
100%99.0%
Kamala Harris Nominee, Loses
0.1%
Kamala Harris Nominee, Wins
0.1%
Gavin Newsom Nominee, Wins
0.1%
Gavin Newsom Nominee, Loses
0.1%
Gretchen Whitmer Nominee, Wins
0.0%
Gretchen Whitmer Nominee, Loses
0.0%
Pete Buttigieg Nominee, Wins
0.0%
Pete Buttigieg Nominee, Loses
0.1%
J. B. Pritzker Nominee, Wins
0.0%
J. B. Pritzker Nominee, Loses
0.0%
Andy Beshear Nominee, Wins
0.0%
Andy Beshear Nominee, Loses
0.0%
Josh Shapiro Nominee, Wins
0.0%
Josh Shapiro Nominee, Loses
0.0%
Raphael Warnock Nominee, Wins
0.0%
Raphael Warnock Nominee, Loses
0.0%
Jared Polis Nominee, Wins
0.0%
Jared Polis Nominee, Loses
0.0%
Michelle Obama Nominee, Wins
0.0%
Michelle Obama Nominee, Loses
This market resolves based the next Democratic Party Nominee who is not Joe Biden, in whatever year this happens. This means that if Biden steps aside or dies before the 2024 election, this market resolves to whoever replaces him.
But if Joe Biden is not replaced, then this market remains open until there is a nominee in a future election cycle who is not Joe Biden.
In any case, there are separate options for each candidate winning or losing the general election.
If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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