Who would win the presidential election if they were the Democratic Party nominee after Joe Biden?
7
131
665
Nov 11
25%
Other
11%
Gretchen Whitmer Nominee, Wins
10%
Gavin Newsom Nominee, Wins
9%
J. B. Pritzker Nominee, Wins
9%
Gavin Newsom Nominee, Loses
7%
Josh Shapiro Nominee, Wins
3%
Kamala Harris Nominee, Loses
3%
Kamala Harris Nominee, Wins
3%
Gretchen Whitmer Nominee, Loses
1.9%
Pete Buttigieg Nominee, Wins
1.9%
Pete Buttigieg Nominee, Loses
1.9%
J. B. Pritzker Nominee, Loses
1.9%
Andy Beshear Nominee, Wins
1.9%
Andy Beshear Nominee, Loses
1.9%
Josh Shapiro Nominee, Loses
1.9%
Raphael Warnock Nominee, Wins
1.9%
Raphael Warnock Nominee, Loses
1.9%
Jared Polis Nominee, Wins
1.9%
Jared Polis Nominee, Loses

This market resolves based the next Democratic Party Nominee who is not Joe Biden, in whatever year this happens. This means that if Biden steps aside or dies before the 2024 election, this market resolves to whoever replaces him.

But if Joe Biden is not replaced, then this market remains open until there is a nominee in a future election cycle who is not Joe Biden.

In any case, there are separate options for each candidate winning or losing the general election.

If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.

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