Which party will win the US Presidency in Georgia?
Swing StatesUS Politics2024 US Presidential Election2024 US Election
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Plus
401
แน€119k
2025
43%
Democratic Party
57%
Republican Party
0%
Other

Resolves after the AP calls the race.

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We'll see if this lasts

bought แน€100 Republican Party YES

smnsmnsmnsmn s.boughtแน€500Republican Party YES

@smnsmnsmnsmns Supreme Court race?

According to Real Clear Politics tracker Trump has the exact same lead (+4.2) in North Carolina and Georgia. Georgia has been polled more than North Carolina, but it would make me suspect that Georgia is more republican leaning compared to this prediction market as NC Republican is trading at 72 cents and Georgia is at 57 cents

More precise version:

My current thesis is even if Biden manages to turn things around and squeak through, it'll be because he was saved by white voters in WI/PA/MI. His slip with minority voters seems durable and will probably echo the slip with Latino voters in 2020 so Georgia is easily the easiest Trump flip for me

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