Which party will win the US Presidency in Georgia?
Democratic Party
Republican Party

Resolves after the AP calls the race.

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bought Ṁ100 Republican Party YES

smnsmnsmnsmn s.boughtṀ500Republican Party YES

@smnsmnsmnsmns Supreme Court race?

According to Real Clear Politics tracker Trump has the exact same lead (+4.2) in North Carolina and Georgia. Georgia has been polled more than North Carolina, but it would make me suspect that Georgia is more republican leaning compared to this prediction market as NC Republican is trading at 72 cents and Georgia is at 57 cents

More precise version:

My current thesis is even if Biden manages to turn things around and squeak through, it'll be because he was saved by white voters in WI/PA/MI. His slip with minority voters seems durable and will probably echo the slip with Latino voters in 2020 so Georgia is easily the easiest Trump flip for me

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