Which party will win the US Presidency in Georgia?
308
923
3.3K
2025
38%
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
0%
Other

Resolves after the AP calls the race.

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According to Real Clear Politics tracker Trump has the exact same lead (+4.2) in North Carolina and Georgia. Georgia has been polled more than North Carolina, but it would make me suspect that Georgia is more republican leaning compared to this prediction market as NC Republican is trading at 72 cents and Georgia is at 57 cents

bought Ṁ30 of Republican Party YES

More precise version:

bought Ṁ50 of Democratic Party NO

My current thesis is even if Biden manages to turn things around and squeak through, it'll be because he was saved by white voters in WI/PA/MI. His slip with minority voters seems durable and will probably echo the slip with Latino voters in 2020 so Georgia is easily the easiest Trump flip for me

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