What will the Dem Nom's exact vote share be in the 2024 Presidential Election in Georgia?

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Ṁ2545

Nov 17

0.2%

0.0 - 39.9%

0.2%

40.0 - 40.9%

0.2%

41.0 - 41.9%

0.2%

42.0 - 42.9%

0.2%

43.0 - 43.9%

0.2%

44.0 - 44.9%

0.3%

45.0 - 45.9%

0.5%

46.0 - 46.9%

1.1%

47.0 - 47.9%

94%

48.0 - 48.9%

1.2%

49.0 - 49.9%

0.7%

50.0 - 50.9%

0.4%

51.0 - 51.9%

0.2%

52.0 - 52.9%

0.1%

53.0 - 53.9%

0.1%

54.0 - 54.9%

0.1%

55.0 - 59.9%

0.1%

60.0 - 100.0%

Resolves based on the finalized vote count in the 2024 presidential election in the state of Georgia. In 2020 this was 49.47% for Biden, in 2016 it was 45.29% for Clinton, in 2012 it was 45.48% for Obama, and in 2008 it was 46.90% for Obama.

Any Democratic party nominee will be used instead of Biden if he is not the nominee, I'm just presuming he's the nominee.

You can keep an eye on the current raw polling average here. As of market creation, Trump leads 48.2% to 41.6%.

You can find more questions like this in the 2024 Vote Share Dashboard.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Trump

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Joe Biden

#Election margins

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Why is this so misaligned with the market on who will win Georgia? Currently about 50-50 for Biden/Trump. For Biden to win, he'd almost certainly need at least 49%, yet the market share of that is only about 30%??? Gonna buy some up right now

@benshindel Maybe people are predicting a larger third-party presence in 2024 compared to 2020.

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